Archive for category: Interest Rates

Cash Rate – No Change

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has just announced it will maintain the official cash rate at 1.75%.

This follows last week’s better than expected GDP figures which showed annualised economic growth at 3.1 per cent.

It is interesting to note that business lending has been growing at a slightly higher rate than housing lending, the first time this has occurred since early 2009. The reasons for this have been the current low interest rate environment, an improvement in overall business confidence together with the influence from the regulatory body, APRA, as they continue to push the Lenders to reduce their growth in mortgage investment lending.

We see no change to the Cash Rate in the short term, although many Economists are expecting another reduction before the end of the year.

Cash Rate – No Change

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has just announced it will maintain the official cash rate at 2.00%.

Notwithstanding a strong Australian dollar the RBA remains comfortable with a contained inflation rate and a slowly improving labour market. Business credit has expanded (0.7% for the month of February) resulting in an annual growth rate of 6.5% (up from 5.5% for the year to February 2015). Housing credit remained at 0.5% for February (7.3% for the year compared to 7.1% for the prior year). The Australian Industry Group manufacturing index also delivered positive news last Friday morning showing an improvement of 4.6 points to 58.1 – the highest level since 2004.

Whilst we remain confident the cash rate will be left untouched for the remainder of 2016 the RBA will keep a close eye on a strengthening Australian dollar.

 

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has just announced it will maintain the official cash rate at 2.00%.

It may be Super Tuesday in the United States but it is also a huge week for local financial data, including the GDP figures for our last quarter. The Bank will prefer to assess this information to see just how the domestic economy is performing in the early stages of this year.  Whilst the market is currently forecasting a 60% chance of an interest rate reduction by May we remain confident the RBA will leave the cash rate untouched for the remainder of 2016.

 

Cash Rate – No Change

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has just announced it will maintain the official cash rate at 2.00%.

The RBA remains comfortable to provide a period of stability, to allow business and consumers some certainty over the coming months particularly following the recent change of political leadership. The financial markets are currently pricing in the next change in the cash rate for December with a 0.25% reduction. Unless there is significant untoward domestic and global economic data it is our view the RBA will hold the cash rate at 2.00% for some time.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has announced it will maintain the official cash rate at 2.00%.

The decision has been influenced by a low Australian dollar (currently under 73 U.S. cents), a low inflation rate which still falls short of the RBA’s target range of 2 to 3 per cent and a relatively stable unemployment rate of 6.0 per cent.

Although the RBA’s broader economic outlook will be released in its quarterly monetary policy statement on Friday it is unlikely we will see a change to the cash rate before the end of the year.